Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MATIC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-22 0.314343 0.366439 0.421438 0.483540 0.551428 0.623115 0.704264
2024-12-29 0.244519 0.316239 0.396878 0.493100 0.603652 0.725621 0.869286
2025-01-05 0.186145 0.267556 0.364931 0.487220 0.634011 0.802055 1.006474
2025-01-12 0.144388 0.230813 0.340590 0.485093 0.665355 0.878261 1.144179
2025-01-19 0.117258 0.207534 0.328759 0.495068 0.709383 0.969054 1.300270
2025-01-26 0.097878 0.191067 0.322855 0.510423 0.758969 1.066607 1.465811
2025-02-02 0.082318 0.177130 0.318061 0.525556 0.807447 1.162913 1.631031
2025-02-09 0.065127 0.157113 0.301783 0.522757 0.830936 1.227067 1.756571
2025-02-16 0.053989 0.144841 0.295135 0.532053 0.869764 1.310694 1.907182
2025-02-23 0.042597 0.129436 0.281517 0.529565 0.891361 1.371415 2.028795
2025-03-02 0.030507 0.109215 0.257277 0.508804 0.885565 1.394699 2.101456
2025-03-09 0.024615 0.100467 0.251131 0.514754 0.917110 1.467753 2.239265
2025-03-16 0.017665 0.086928 0.235004 0.504169 0.924781 1.509465 2.338006
2025-03-23 0.015168 0.084188 0.238520 0.525393 0.979757 1.616934 2.525578
2025-03-30 0.011319 0.075821 0.229978 0.525803 1.003243 1.680940 2.655738
2025-04-06 0.008351 0.068577 0.222563 0.527322 1.028010 1.746774 2.788898
2025-04-13 0.006616 0.064768 0.221775 0.540047 1.070056 1.837384 2.956524
2025-04-20 0.005419 0.062411 0.223780 0.557586 1.119744 1.939309 3.140434
2025-04-27 0.004382 0.060053 0.225427 0.574373 1.168439 2.040315 3.324002
2025-05-04 0.002901 0.053770 0.216915 0.571830 1.186038 2.096502 3.446193
2025-05-11 0.002114 0.050560 0.215330 0.581940 1.223946 2.182418 3.610182
2025-05-18 0.001272 0.045239 0.207470 0.579439 1.241014 2.237858 3.732075
2025-05-25 0.000495 0.037125 0.190362 0.557471 1.224967 2.243828 3.784341